DXY: War gains unwind as allies resist blockade โ€“ DBS

DBS Group Researchโ€™s Philip Wee notes that the US Dollar (USD) has given back most of its Iranโ€‘war related strength, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) down this month and nearing preโ€‘conflict levels. He links Dollar softness to resilient equities, contained Brent prices below $100, and a growing refusal by US allies to escalate the Middle East conflict or support Washingtonโ€™s blockade strategy.

DXY retreats as conflict premium fades

"The DXY Index has surrendered more than 80% of its gains from the Iran conflict."

TMGM Analysis: Financial Market News, Economic Calendar & Market Insights

"The Index is down 1.8% this month to 98.1, approaching the 97.6 level before Operation Epic Fury began."

"With Brent crude prices holding mostly below $100 per barrel the past week, markets have been holding out for a diplomatic solution, driven by President Donald Trumpโ€™s April 8 temporary ceasefire."

"Despite the failure of the first talks in Islamabad, Trumpโ€™s decision to blockade the Strait of Hormuz has strengthened the resolve of EU nations and China to push for a diplomatic solution."

"For now, the worst oil shock scenario appears to be partially contained, not by a lack of conflict, but by a refusal of Americaโ€™s allies to escalate the Middle Crisis into a total war, which is a significant contrast to previous decades of coalition-based interventions."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor.)