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Market News

21/09/2026 - 20/10/2026

Canadian Dollar: Market pricing seen excessive despite hike bets – BBH

Elias Haddad at Brown Brothers Harriman reports USD/CAD is near a one-month low as markets firm expectations for a 25 bps Bank of Canada (BoC) rate hike to 2.50% on October 28, with swaps pricing a 78% probability.

20 Oct 2026

Euro: Recovery capped by French spread tensions against US Dollar – Scotiabank

Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret highlight EUR/USD around 1.1212, noting the Euro (EUR) is underperforming peers as Eurozone bond-market tensions persist. The elevated French OAT/Bund spread reflects ongoing social and fiscal strains. While the German ZEW survey shows some improvement in current conditions, expectations softened, and the bank characterizes the Eurozone economy as remaining in a slow recovery phase, limiting Euro (EUR) upside.

20 Oct 2026

Australian Dollar firms as US tech jitters undermine US Dollar

AUD/USD advances on Tuesday, trading around 0.7000, up 0.32% on the day at the time of writing.

20 Oct 2026

Brazilian Real: Run-off risks skewed to downside against US Dollar – ING

Chris Turner at ING notes USD/BRL has consolidated around 5.05 after gapping lower to 4.95 on Flavio Bolsonaro’s strong first-round showing. Polls for Sunday’s Lula–Bolsonaro run-off have tightened to roughly 50:50, with Lula’s gains linked to labour law changes.

20 Oct 2026

Euro steadies as traders weigh France’s budget risks and Fed outlook

EUR/USD holds modest gains during American trading hours on Tuesday as the US Dollar (USD) struggles to gain traction following its recent pullback. However, sentiment toward the Euro (EUR) remains fragile amid France’s fiscal and political troubles, limiting the pair’s upside.

20 Oct 2026

British Pound: Stronger labour data backs BoE hikes – MUFG

MUFG’s Lee Hardman notes the Pound is strengthening, with EUR/GBP near its year-to-date low and GBP/USD above 1.3350, as stronger UK labour data show rising payrolled employment and private sector wage growth in line with Bank of England projections. He argues this supports expectations for BoE rate hikes and a lower EUR/GBP trading range between 0.8200 and 0.8400.

20 Oct 2026

Euro: Two-phase weakness and recovery prospects against US Dollar – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Thu Lan Nguyen analyzes EUR/USD’s sharp decline since September, initially driven by broad US Dollar strength and later by Euro-specific concerns over France’s public finances.

20 Oct 2026

Canadian Dollar: BoC rate hike bets seen as excessive - Standard Chartered

Standard Chartered economist Dan Pan expects the Bank of Canada (BoC) to keep its policy rate at 2.25% through end-2026 and 2027, despite market pricing for a much steeper tightening cycle.

20 Oct 2026

Australian Dollar: 0.7015 caps further gains against US Dollar – UOB

United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang notes AUD/USD outperformed on Monday, closing at 0.6980 after China’s stronger Q3 GDP print. Short term, the Australian Dollar is seen probing 0.7000, though a sustained break above this level and the major resistance at 0.7015 is deemed unlikely.

20 Oct 2026

British Pound advances against Euro as UK jobs data strengthens BoE hike bets

EUR/GBP loses 0.38% on Tuesday as stronger-than-expected UK labour market data lifts the Pound Sterling (GBP). At the time of writing, the cross trades around 0.8395, at levels last seen in May 2025.

20 Oct 2026

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