德国：工业陷入横盘整理 – 德国商业银行

德国：工业陷入横盘整理 – 德国商业银行

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德国商业银行（Commerzbank）高级经济学家拉尔夫·索尔文（Dr. Ralph Solveen）指出，德国工业依然疲弱，1月份工业订单在此前因大宗国防和公共部门合同的扭曲后大幅下降。剔除大宗订单的核心订单指标基本持平，工业生产也出现下降。该银行得出结论，德国工业正在稳定，但尚未恢复，这限制了第一季度GDP的支持。

德国商业银行（Commerzbank）高级经济学家拉尔夫·索尔文（Dr. Ralph Solveen）指出，德国工业依然疲弱，1月份工业订单在此前因大宗国防和公共部门合同的扭曲后大幅下降。剔除大宗订单的核心订单指标基本持平，工业生产也出现下降。该银行得出结论，德国工业正在稳定，但尚未恢复，这限制了第一季度GDP的支持。

工业订单稳定但未见明显复苏

“正如预期，德国工业订单在1月份较12月份大幅下降（-11.1%）。这主要是由于11月和12月的结果因大量大宗订单而向上扭曲。”

“更重要的是，剔除大宗订单的核心数据下降了0.4%，而12月份的数据也被下修。这意味着核心数据的趋势继续横盘，这表明工业因此已稳定。”

“不过，目前尚未出现复苏的迹象。这与1月份工业产出较上月下降0.5%是一致的。”

“无论如何，剔除大宗订单的核心数据对于未来几个月生产的发展更为重要。”

“总的来说，今天的数据并未表明工业部门将在第一季度支持德国经济增长。充其量，预计实际GDP将略有增长。”

（本文由人工智能工具生成，并经过编辑审核。）

Acuity Trading is a London-based fintech company founded in 2013 that specializes in AI-powered alternative data and sentiment analysis for trading and investments. They revolutionized the online trading experience by introducing visual news and sentiment tools, and today they continue to lead the fintech market with alpha-generating alternative data and highly engaging trading tools using the latest AI research and technology.

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