中国人民银行：采取谨慎立场，使用结构性宽松工具 – 星展银行

中国人民银行：采取谨慎立场，使用结构性宽松工具 – 星展银行

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星展集团研究经济学家蔡汉腾预计，中国人民银行将在2月24日将1年期贷款市场报价利率维持在3.00%，因为1月份的数据仍在公布中

星展集团研究经济学家蔡汉腾预计，中国人民银行将在2月24日将1年期贷款市场报价利率保持在3.00%，因为1月份的数据仍在逐步公布。报告称，政策仍然保持谨慎宽松，反映在美元/人民币的基准汇率低于7.0，预计到2026年下半年将依赖结构性工具和更广泛的宽松。

贷款市场报价利率预计暂时不变

"预计人民银行将1年期贷款市场报价利率（LPR）保持在3.00%不变，因为1月份的经济数据尚未完全公布。"

"在地缘政治紧张局势加剧的背景下，中央银行保持谨慎宽松的货币政策立场。"

"这一立场反映在较低的美元/人民币基准汇率上，该汇率已突破心理关口7.0。"

"人民银行越来越依赖结构性工具来支持特定行业，而不是降低贷款市场报价利率或7天逆回购利率。"

"我们预计人民银行将在下半年恢复更广泛的宽松。"

(本文由人工智能工具协助创建，并由编辑审核。)

Acuity Trading is a London-based fintech company founded in 2013 that specializes in AI-powered alternative data and sentiment analysis for trading and investments. They revolutionized the online trading experience by introducing visual news and sentiment tools, and today they continue to lead the fintech market with alpha-generating alternative data and highly engaging trading tools using the latest AI research and technology.

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