欧元/英镑：英镑面临下行风险 – 荷兰国际集团

欧元/英镑：英镑面临下行风险 – 荷兰国际集团

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荷兰国际集团（ING）分析师弗朗切斯科·佩索莱（Francesco Pesole）认为，由于英镑（GBP）对股市反弹的敏感性，欧元/英镑在跌至 0.870 后，进一步下跌空间有限。

荷兰国际集团（ING）的弗朗切斯科·佩索莱（Francesco Pesole）认为，在英镑（GBP）对股市反弹的敏感性影响下，欧元/英镑跌至0.870后，进一步下跌空间有限。鉴于欧洲央行预期可能保持顽固，而如果能源价格下跌，英国央行（BoE）的定价可能会更偏鸽派地重新定价，佩索莱预计英国央行的沟通将支持欧元/英镑本季度回升至0.880附近。

英国央行重新定价或提振欧元/英镑

“在欧元/英镑跌至0.870后，我们难以看到太多下行潜力，这在很大程度上反映了英镑对股市急剧反弹的更高敏感性。”

“……欧元利率预期可能保持顽固，而如果能源价格持续下降，英国央行的鸽派重新定价可能会更顺利。毕竟，英国央行在战争爆发前就已准备好降息，我们坚信英国的二次效应风险远低于2022年。”

“下周，英国央行的一些发言人（行长安德鲁·贝利，以及凯瑟琳·曼恩和梅根·格林）可能会为市场提供机会，将今年的加息预期从目前的30个基点以下进行调整，这将为欧元/英镑提供一些看涨动力。我们仍预计该货币对本季度将回升至0.880。”

（本文由人工智能工具协助生成，编辑审核。）

Acuity Trading is a London-based fintech company founded in 2013 that specializes in AI-powered alternative data and sentiment analysis for trading and investments. They revolutionized the online trading experience by introducing visual news and sentiment tools, and today they continue to lead the fintech market with alpha-generating alternative data and highly engaging trading tools using the latest AI research and technology.

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